Journal article
Global distribution and environmental suitability for chikungunya virus, 1952 to 2015
EO Nsoesie, MUG Kraemer, N Golding, DM Pigott, OJ Brady, CL Moyes, MA Johansson, PW Gething, R Velayudhan, K Khan, SI Hay, JS Brownstein
Eurosurveillance | EUR CENTRE DIS PREVENTION & CONTROL | Published : 2016
Abstract
Chikungunya fever is an acute febrile illness caused by the chikungunya virus (CHIKV), which is transmitted to humans by Aedes mosquitoes. Although chikungunya fever is rarely fatal, patients can experience debilitating symptoms that last from months to years. Here we comprehensively assess the global distribution of chikungunya and produce high-resolution maps, using an established modelling framework that combines a comprehensive occurrence database with bespoke environmental correlates, including up-to-date Aedes distribution maps. This enables estimation of the current total population-at-risk of CHIKV transmission and identification of areas where the virus may spread to in the future. ..
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Grants
Awarded by National Institutes of Health
Funding Acknowledgements
EON is supported by funding from the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences of the National Institutes of Health (#K01ES025438). MUGK receives funding from the International research Consortium on Dengue Risk Assessment Management and Surveillance (IDAMS; European Commission 7th Framework Programme (21893)). NG is supported by a University of Melbourne McKenzie fellowship. DMP is funded by a Sir Richard Southwood Graduate Scholarship from the Department of Zoology at the University of Oxford. OJB is funded by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (#OPP1053338). CLM is funded by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (#OPP1093011). MAJ is supported by the Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study program (cooperative agreement #1U54GM088558). PWG is a Career Development Fellow (#K00669X) jointly funded by the UK Medical Research Council (MRC) and the UK Department for International Development (DfID) under the MRC/DfID Concordat agreement and receives support from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (#OPP1068048, #OPP1106023). KK is funded by the Canadian Institutes for Health Research. SIH received a grant from the Research for Health in Humanitarian Crises (R2HC) Programme, managed by ELRHA (#13468) which also supported NG & MUGK. The Research for Health in Humanitarian Crises (R2HC) programme aims to improve health outcomes by strengthening the evidence base for public health interventions in humanitarian crises. Visit www.elrha.org/work/r2hc for more information. The 8 pound million R2HC programme is funded equally by the Wellcome Trust and DFID, with Enhancing Learning and Research for Humanitarian Assistance (ELRHA) over-seeing the programme's execution and management. SIH is funded by a Senior Research Fellowship from the Wellcome Trust (#095066), and grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1119467, OPP1093011, OPP1106023 and OPP1132415). JSB acknowledges funding from NIH National Library of Medicine (#R01LM010812-05) and from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (#OPP1093011). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.